Spanish Olive Oil Production Down, Prices Up, Consumption Steady

Drought has affected the Spanish olive crop and forecasters estimate a 30-40% reduction in olive oil yield for the coming harvest. However, this drop in production is to some extent counterbalanced by carryover stocks from the previous record harvest.

International Olive Council data shows in 2011/12 production exceeded consumption. The shortfall in the Spanish crop is expected to return the balance between production and consumption.

Olive oil is part of a group of oils used in cooking and salad dressings. According to forecaster Oil World (www.oilworld.biz) production of these oils will fall up to 18% in the next year.

In anticipation of these shortfalls olive oil prices have jumped significantly. According to Oil World, ‘Domestic prices in Spain for extra-virgin olive oil rose 40 percent from June to about 2,400 euros  a ton in September last week, and could surpass the previous March 2008 high of 2,633 euros to climb to at least 2,800 to 3,000 euros a ton’.

Italy’s olive-oil production, the world’s second-largest, is seen climbing to 540,000 tons from 518,000 tons, while output in Greece may advance to 355,000 tons from 335,000 tons’.

World consumption of olive oil is forecast to stagnate in 2012-13 after climbing for six consecutive years.  “It can be expected that consumption of olive oil will be affected by the prospective high prices and the widening of the price premiums relative to sunflower oil and other vegetable oils,” according to Oil World. (Source Bloomberg and Oil World)

Wholesale Olive Oil Prices Lowest in Years

According to the International Monetary Fund, wholesale extra virgin olive oil prices in Europe have halved since 2005 and are back to 2002 levels. The price drop is caused by bumper harvests in Spain and reduced consumption in Europe. In an attempt to stop the price slide EU producers have been assisted in storing the surplus olive oil.

Time to Test Olive Oils against Other Vegetable Oils

One must question the logic of the continuous assault on imported olive oils that is taking place in Australia, New Zealand and the United States. While the main reason promulgated for this New World campaign is to increase the quality of olive oil supplied to consumers, many see it as a thinly disguised attempt to increase the sales of locally produced extra virgin olive oils. 

With the global access to local news and commentary, the danger of this approach is that the global brand of olive oil is permanently damaged and it will take more than a few new producing countries to repair the damage. The sales of olive oil are very price sensitive as we are seeing in Greece and Italy.

It is time we as an industry encouraged the comparison of the positive attributes olive oil – refined and extra virgin – with other vegetable oils, and in doing so, boost the global olive oil brand rather than tainting it.

Spanish olive oil production at record levels as prices hit record lows

The Spanish Olive Oil Agency reports that Spanish olive oil production during 2011/2012 has all previous levels and is 185,000 tonnes above the level of the previous year. Spain produces approximately 50% of the world’s olive oil.

Prices for extra virgin olive oil are down 13% in Spain (€1.75/kg) and 28% in Italy (€2.35/kg).
(Source IOC)